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Security, rare earths and ice: Why Trump wants Greenland

The Trump administration is intensifying efforts to acquire Greenland, with high-stakes talks underway today between U.S., Danish, and Greenlandic officials, driven by strategic concerns over Arctic security and access to critical rare earth minerals. President Donald Trump’s persistent threats to seize the mineral-rich island have sparked a diplomatic crisis, risking the cohesion of the NATO alliance as European leaders rally in support of Greenland’s sovereignty.

Trump’s interest in Greenland has been reignited following a recent U.S. military operation in Venezuela, with the president arguing that controlling Greenland is essential for national security to prevent Russian or Chinese dominance in the Arctic. He has publicly stated that the U.S. will take Greenland “one way or the other,” even if it strains relations with Denmark, a NATO ally. The administration’s preferred method is a purchase or diplomatic acquisition, but officials have not ruled out coercive measures, including direct payments to Greenlanders to encourage independence from Denmark.

A senior administration official, Thomas Dans, Trump’s Arctic commissioner, revealed in an exclusive interview with USA TODAY that meaningful U.S. action on Greenland could occur within “weeks or months.” Dans described the process as moving at “high speed,” emphasizing the need to gain the trust of Greenland’s 57,000 inhabitants, who largely oppose becoming a U.S. state. This urgency is underscored by a White House meeting scheduled for January 14, where Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are set to engage with Greenland Foreign Minister Vivian Motzfeldt and Danish Foreign Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen.

The meeting, requested by Denmark amid Trump’s threats, comes after Greenland Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen and Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen presented a united front, firmly rejecting U.S. takeover attempts. Nielsen stated unequivocally that Greenland does not want to be owned, governed, or part of the United States, choosing Denmark over the U.S. if forced to decide. Frederiksen warned that a U.S. attack on Greenland would mark the end of NATO, highlighting the severe implications for the alliance’s mutual defense agreements.

European leaders, including French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, have expressed solidarity with Greenland, asserting that decisions about the island must rest solely with Denmark and Greenland. This support adds pressure on the Trump administration, as experts like Carl Bildt, former Swedish prime minister, describe the situation as “a profound crisis” with no easy diplomatic resolution. The stakes are high, with Ian Lesser of the German Marshall Fund noting that failure to resolve the crisis threatens not just NATO cohesion but its very existence.

Behind Trump’s push are Greenland’s vast reserves of rare earth minerals, crucial for technologies like electric vehicles and defense systems, coupled with its strategic location between Europe and North America. The U.S. has historically shown interest, with a failed $100 million gold offer in 1946, and current estimates suggest a purchase could cost billions. However, Denmark provides Greenland with significant annual grants for welfare and security, complicating any acquisition attempt.

Potential outcomes from the talks include renewed European commitments to Arctic defense or preferential U.S. access to Greenland’s resources, but acrimony is a real risk. Otto Svendsen of the Center for Strategic and International Studies suggests that only a firm affirmation of Greenland’s sovereignty within the Kingdom of Denmark can deter further U.S. threats. As tensions mount, the world watches to see if diplomacy can avert a confrontation that could reshape international alliances and Arctic geopolitics.

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