Ukraine, Russia, and the United States are poised to hold their first trilateral negotiations since Russia’s full-scale invasion began in 2022, with delegations gathering in Abu Dhabi today. This follows a late-night meeting in Moscow where Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner held what the Kremlin described as ‘useful’ and ‘constructive’ discussions, setting the stage for critical peace talks.
The talks in Abu Dhabi mark a significant diplomatic milestone, as it is the first time all three parties have sat down together since the war escalated nearly four years ago. Kremlin adviser Yuri Ushakov confirmed that a working group on security issues will convene, though details on whether Russian and Ukrainian officials will meet face-to-face remain unclear. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy indicated the discussions will span two days, focusing on technical-level aspects, with the potential to shape a broader peace framework.
A central sticking point is the territorial status of eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region, which has been a persistent source of conflict. Zelenskyy emphasized that ‘it’s all about the land,’ referring to areas currently occupied by Russia, and he has steadfastly refused to cede territory defended through grueling warfare. In contrast, Putin has demanded control over Donetsk and other regions, with Russia also insisting on Ukraine renouncing NATO ambitions and rejecting any post-deal NATO troop presence on Ukrainian soil.
Parallel to these talks, Zelenskyy and U.S. President Donald Trump have agreed on security guarantees for Ukraine should a peace deal be reached. During their meeting at the World Economic Forum in Davos, they finalized a document outlining U.S. commitments, though it requires ratification by both the U.S. Congress and Ukrainian parliament. Zelenskyy expressed hope for a positive outcome but acknowledged the challenges, stating that security assurances are crucial for Ukraine’s future stability.
The negotiations unfold against a grim humanitarian backdrop, as Ukraine endures a severe energy crisis amid a bitter winter. Recent Russian missile and drone attacks on civilian infrastructure have left cities like Kyiv without heating and power, with temperatures plummeting to -10°C. This has intensified pressure on the diplomatic process, with Zelenskyy accusing European leaders of complacency and calling for more robust support to counter Russian aggression.
Political dynamics add complexity, with Trump’s administration actively pushing for a settlement that some observers fear could force Ukraine into unfavorable terms. Trump has stated that both Putin and Zelenskyy want a deal and are making concessions, but boundaries and territorial integrity remain major hurdles. European allies have expressed skepticism, citing concerns about Russia’s long-term intentions and the need for any agreement to uphold Ukraine’s sovereignty.
Looking ahead, the Abu Dhabi talks are expected to delve into specifics of security arrangements and territorial compromises. If progress is made, it could lead to a phased implementation of peace measures, but significant obstacles persist, including the demilitarization of contested zones and the future of Ukraine’s military capabilities. The outcome will hinge on whether Moscow demonstrates genuine willingness to negotiate or continues to leverage military pressure.
In conclusion, these trilateral talks represent a critical juncture in the Ukraine war, offering a glimmer of hope for peace but underscored by deep-seated issues and humanitarian suffering. The world watches closely as diplomacy accelerates, with the stakes encompassing regional security, international alliances, and the plight of millions affected by the conflict.
