A significant weather system is expected to disrupt Thanksgiving travel across the United States, with forecasts predicting snow, rain, and wind that could affect millions of travelers. Meteorologists are monitoring an Arctic blast and potential stratospheric warming that may intensify winter conditions during the holiday week.
The holiday travel period, one of the busiest of the year, faces substantial challenges as a storm system moves across the country. Tens of millions of Americans are anticipated to travel for Thanksgiving, and many could encounter adverse weather conditions. The FOX Forecast Center and other meteorological services are closely tracking developments that might lead to major disruptions, particularly in the central and northern regions. This comes as the Climate Prediction Center warns of a pattern change favoring winter-like conditions, including much below normal temperatures and heavy snow potential.
An Arctic blast is poised to sweep into the central and northern United States, bringing bitterly cold air and the likelihood of heavy snowfall. In states like Indiana, forecasts indicate the possibility of blowing snow due to gusty winds, which could reduce visibility and create hazardous driving conditions during peak travel times. This cold air intrusion is linked to a weakening polar vortex, a phenomenon that allows Arctic air to spill southward more easily. The combination of La Niña and other atmospheric patterns, such as the Madden-Julian Oscillation, increases the chance of cold outbreaks across the northern tier of the country.
Experts are particularly concerned about a potential sudden stratospheric warming event, which could further destabilize the polar vortex. If this occurs, it would be an extraordinary event for November, potentially leading to more severe and prolonged cold spells. Climatologist Judah Cohen emphasized that the atmosphere is at a ‘critical juncture,’ with November’s developments possibly setting the tone for the rest of the winter. Such an event could result in significant cold air intrusions and even blizzards, amplifying travel risks during the Thanksgiving period.
Regional impacts vary, with the western United States and Midwest expected to bear the brunt of heavy snow and cold rain, according to AccuWeather meteorologists. The Northeast is likely to experience mainly rain ahead of Thanksgiving Day, but gusty winds on the back side of the storm system could still disrupt air travel and affect high-profile vehicles. Events like the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade in New York City and the Dunkin’ Donuts Thanksgiving Day Parade in Philadelphia might face challenges from high winds, potentially grounding balloons and causing delays.
In contrast, the Old Farmer’s Almanac offers a slightly more optimistic forecast for parts of the East, predicting sunshine and dry conditions that could facilitate smoother travel. For areas like New Jersey and the Atlantic Corridor, it anticipates cooler-than-average temperatures but without significant rain or snow delays. However, local forecasts may differ, and travelers should remain vigilant as weather patterns evolve. The Almanac’s winter outlook for 2025-26 suggests a ‘mostly mild—with pockets of wild’ season, with below-normal precipitation and snowfall expected in many regions.
Overall, the consensus among weather experts is that Thanksgiving travel could be significantly affected, especially in the central and northern states. Travelers are advised to check forecasts regularly, allow extra time for journeys, and prepare for possible delays or cancellations. As the holiday approaches, meteorologists will continue to refine predictions, but the potential for disruption remains high, underscoring the importance of staying informed and flexible with plans.
