Monday, October 27, 2025
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How Vlad Jr. and the Blue Jays bet on each other — and won

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s historic contract extension with the Toronto Blue Jays has proven to be a pivotal moment, fueling the team’s surge from last place to the American League Championship Series and within reach of the World Series. The 14-year, $500 million deal, signed six months ago, removed a cloud of uncertainty and allowed Guerrero to focus on delivering his best performance yet.

The agreement came just a week into the 2025 season, after failed negotiations and amid speculation that Guerrero might test free agency. By committing to the homegrown star, the Blue Jays made a historic bet, and Guerrero responded with his fifth All-Star season, batting .292 with 23 home runs and an .848 OPS. His consistency, combined with rebound years from veterans like George Springer and Bo Bichette, propelled Toronto to 94 wins and an AL East title, a dramatic improvement from their 74-win 2024 campaign.

In the postseason, Guerrero has shattered his previous playoff struggles, dominating the AL Division Series against the New York Yankees with a .529 batting average, three home runs, and nine RBIs over four games. His grand slam in Game 2 was a highlight-reel moment that energized the team and fans. This breakout performance has been crucial as the Blue Jays advance deeper into the playoffs, with Guerrero continuing to excel in the ALCS against the Seattle Mariners.

During Game 3 of the ALCS, Guerrero was instrumental in turning the series around, contributing four hits—including a home run and two doubles—in a 13-4 rout that narrowed Seattle’s lead to 2-1. His leadership and clutch hitting have been praised by teammates and coaches, who note that the contract extension alleviated pressure and allowed the entire organization to focus on winning. Manager John Schneider described it as freeing everyone up to perform at their best.

Guerrero’s journey to this point began over a decade ago when the Blue Jays scouted him as a 15-year-old in the Dominican Republic, eventually signing him for $3.9 million in 2015. Despite the immense expectations as the son of Hall of Famer Vladimir Guerrero, he has matured into a franchise cornerstone. General manager Ross Atkins highlighted Guerrero’s ability to handle pressure and embrace the role of being the face of Canada’s only MLB team.

The impact extends beyond the field, as Guerrero’s presence resonates with Toronto’s growing Dominican community and fans across Canada. His commitment to bringing a World Series to Toronto, a goal he shares in honor of his father who never won one, adds emotional weight to the team’s pursuit. Teammates like Max Scherzer compare him to legends like Prince Fielder and Miguel Cabrera, underscoring his potential for a Hall of Fame career.

With the Blue Jays now three victories away from ending a 32-year World Series drought, the bet on Guerrero has already yielded significant returns. The extension not only secured a superstar but also signaled the team’s long-term ambitions, inspiring confidence throughout the roster. As the ALCS continues, all eyes are on Guerrero to lead the charge toward what could be a historic championship for Toronto.

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